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Milazzo vs Reggina Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Group I - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Milazzo

PPG 1.75 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Reggina

PPG 1.94 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.2%0-118.5%0-27.1%0-31.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.9%1-112.1%1-24.6%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-05.2%2-14.0%2-21.5%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.1%3-10.9%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.0% — — —

Draw 39.2% — — —

Away win 30.8% — — —

Over 2.5 26.6% — — —

Over 3.5 5.6% — — —

BTTS 39.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 17.9%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob39.6%

D 39% / xG 0.7-0.8 / U2.5 27% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.2%

#2 0–1 18.5%

#3 1–0 15.9%

#4 1–1 12.1%

#5 0–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Milazzo0.7

Reggina0.8

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 26.6% · O3.5 PROB 5.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MILAZZO · PPG 1.75

REGGINA · PPG 1.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.94)

Win probability 1X2

Milazzo (H) 30.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 39.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Reggina (A) 30.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Milazzo face Reggina in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Milazzo a 30% chance, the draw 39% and Reggina 31%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Milazzo and 0.8 for Reggina (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Milazzo are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.94 for Reggina. This match finished 1-2.

Milazzo vs Reggina Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Match Preview & Prediction

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