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Turkey - Süper Lig
Regular Season - 34
Papara Park· Trabzon
Sunday, May 17, 2026
17:00
Trabzonspor
PPG 2.06
0-3
MISS
Genclerbirligi
PPG 0.38
Home· +70.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
54.9%
Odds: 3.10
EV: +70.2%
Draw
25.0%
Odds: 3.60
EV: -6.0%
Away
20.1%
Odds: 2.12
EV: -34.4%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
52.6%
Odds: 1.65
-13.2%
Over 3.5
27.2%
Odds: 2.62
-17.2%
BTTS
49.2%
Odds: 1.55
-23.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Trabzonspor
1.90
Genclerbirligi
0.74
Model Suggestion
Home
+70.2%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=54.9%