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Kayserispor vs Konyaspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Regular Season - 34 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 14:00

Kayserispor

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Konyaspor

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-111.7%0-29.0%0-34.6%0-4+2.5%1 1-07.9%1-112.1%1-29.4%1-34.8%1-4+2.6%2 2-04.1%2-16.3%2-24.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.4%3 3-01.4%3-12.2%3-21.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.7%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.2% 54.3% 1.84 -28.9%

Draw 26.6% 26.0% 3.85 +1.5%

Away win 45.2% 26.7% 3.75 +69.5%

Over 2.5 51.2% 61.7% 1.62 -17.1%

Over 3.5 26.0% 39.2% 2.55 -20.2%

BTTS 52.3% 63.7% 1.57 -17.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 7.1%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.3%

A 45% / xG 1.0-1.5 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 0–1 11.7%

#3 0–0 7.6%

#4 1–2 9.4%

#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kayserispor1.0

Konyaspor1.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.2% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KAYSERISPOR · PPG 1.00

KONYASPOR · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Kayserispor (H) 28.2%

ODDS 1.84 · IMPLIED 54.3% EV -28.9%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +1.5%

Konyaspor (A) 45.2%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +69.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kayserispor face Konyaspor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kayserispor a 28% chance, the draw 27% and Konyaspor 45%, so Konyaspor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kayserispor and 1.5 for Konyaspor (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kayserispor are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Konyaspor. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +69.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Kayserispor vs Konyaspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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