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Eyupspor vs Rizespor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Matchday 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 17:00

Eyupspor

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDWD

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Rizespor

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWLD

// Model verdict

BTTS 58% chance

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-112.5%0-27.9%0-33.3%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.4%1-113.1%1-28.3%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.4%2-16.9%2-24.3%2-31.8%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.9%3-12.4%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.7% 49.5% 2.02 -29.9%

Draw 28.9% 28.2% 3.55 +1.6%

Away win 36.4% 29.4% 3.40 +23.8%

Over 2.5 46.4% 55.6% 1.80 -16.5%

Over 3.5 20.3% 33.3% 3.00 -23.5%

BTTS 52.3% 60.6% 1.65 -13.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 20.3%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.3%

D 29% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.9%

#3 0–1 12.5%

#4 1–0 10.4%

#5 1–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eyupspor1.0

Rizespor1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.4% · O3.5 PROB 20.3%

Form & verdict PPG

EYUPSPOR · PPG 1.00

RIZESPOR · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

58%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Eyupspor (H) 34.7%

ODDS 2.02 · IMPLIED 49.5% EV -29.9%

Draw 28.9%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +1.6%

Rizespor (A) 36.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +23.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eyupspor face Rizespor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eyupspor a 35% chance, the draw 29% and Rizespor 36%, so Rizespor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Eyupspor and 1.3 for Rizespor (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eyupspor are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.88 for Rizespor. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +23.8%. This match finished 4-0.

Eyupspor vs Rizespor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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