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Turkey - Süper Lig logo Turkey flag Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 33 Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium· Istanbul Saturday, May 9, 2026 17:00
Basaksehir logo Basaksehir PPG 1.69
3-0 MISS
Samsunspor logo Samsunspor PPG 1.44
Away· +1.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.3%
Odds: 1.80 EV: -11.3%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -3.2%
Away 25.1%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +1.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 1.65 -12.4%
Over 3.5 29.0% Odds: 2.60 -14.8%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.57 -14.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Basaksehir
1.68
Samsunspor
1.04

Model Suggestion

BTTS -14.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 61%
Score Hit 44%
ROI 20.3%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

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