V. Senigallia vs Chieti Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone F

Italy - Serie D - Girone F Group F - 33 Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli· Senigallia Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

V. Senigallia PPG 1.44

2-3 MISS

Chieti PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

V. Senigallia face Chieti in Italy - Serie D - Girone F on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives V. Senigallia a 59% chance, the draw 24% and Chieti 16%, so V. Senigallia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for V. Senigallia and 0.6 for Chieti (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, V. Senigallia are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.50 for Chieti. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 24.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 16.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.6% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 29.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 49.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

V. Senigallia

2.13

Chieti

0.60

Model SuggestionHome  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=59.2%