Notaresco vs San Marino C. Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone F

Italy - Serie D - Girone F Group F - 33 Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini· Notaresco Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Notaresco PPG 1.31

1-2 MISS

San Marino C. PPG 0.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Notaresco face San Marino C. in Italy - Serie D - Girone F on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Notaresco a 67% chance, the draw 23% and San Marino C. 10%, so Notaresco are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Notaresco and 0.6 for San Marino C. (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Notaresco are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 0.56 for San Marino C.. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 22.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 9.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 34.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 49.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Notaresco

2.38

San Marino C.

0.57

Model SuggestionHome  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.31) > Away POOR (0.56)