Sammaurese vs Atletico Ascoli Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone F

Italy - Serie D - Girone F Group F - 33 Campo Da Calcio Macrelli· San Mauro Pascoli Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Sammaurese PPG 0.88

1-0 MISS

Atletico Ascoli PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sammaurese face Atletico Ascoli in Italy - Serie D - Girone F on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sammaurese a 14% chance, the draw 24% and Atletico Ascoli 61%, so Atletico Ascoli are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sammaurese and 2.4 for Atletico Ascoli (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sammaurese are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.50 for Atletico Ascoli. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 14.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 24.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 61.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 42.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 57.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-3 ✘

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sammaurese

0.89

Atletico Ascoli

2.44

Model SuggestionAway  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.88)