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Ostia Mare PPG 2.31 
Termoli Calcio PPG 1.31
Ostia Mare vs Termoli Calcio Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone F
Ostia Mare PPG 2.311-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Termoli Calcio PPG 1.31 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Ostia Mare face Termoli Calcio in Italy - Serie D - Girone F on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ostia Mare a 61% chance, the draw 30% and Termoli Calcio 10%, so Ostia Mare are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Ostia Mare and 0.3 for Termoli Calcio (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ostia Mare are averaging 2.31 points per game versus 1.31 for Termoli Calcio. This match finished 1-0.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 44.4% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 15.7% Odds: — —
BTTS 39.6% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✔
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 3-0 ✘
5th 1-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Ostia Mare 1.75
Termoli Calcio 0.33
Model Suggestion
Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 27 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 41%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 30%
Score Hit 44%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.31) vs P(Home)=60.9%