Trevigliese vs Lentigione Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone D

Italy - Serie D - Girone D Group D - 33 Stadio Comunale Mario Zanconti· Treviglio Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Trevigliese PPG 0.56

1-2 MISS

Lentigione PPG 2.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Trevigliese face Lentigione in Italy - Serie D - Girone D on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trevigliese a 14% chance, the draw 29% and Lentigione 57%, so Lentigione are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Trevigliese and 1.8 for Lentigione (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trevigliese are averaging 0.56 points per game versus 2.19 for Lentigione. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 14.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 28.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 56.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 20.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 48.9% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 0-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Trevigliese

0.55

Lentigione

1.75

Model SuggestionAway  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs Home POOR (0.56)