SantAngelo vs Progresso Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone D

Italy - Serie D - Girone D Group D - 33 Stadio Carlo Chiesa· Sant'Angelo Lodigiano Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

SantAngelo PPG 1.50

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Progresso PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

SantAngelo face Progresso in Italy - Serie D - Girone D on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SantAngelo a 46% chance, the draw 29% and Progresso 25%, so SantAngelo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for SantAngelo and 1.1 for Progresso (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SantAngelo are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.31 for Progresso. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 28.8%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 25.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.5% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 26.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 57.8% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

SantAngelo

1.52

Progresso

1.08

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.31)