Dundee Utd vs Dundee FC Prediction— Scotland - Premiership

Scotland - Premiership Relegation Group - 34 Tannadice Park· Dundee Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Dundee Utd PPG 1.41

3-0 MISS

Dundee FC PPG 0.65

Over3.5· +5.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Dundee Utd face Dundee FC in Scotland - Premiership on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dundee Utd a 49% chance, the draw 28% and Dundee FC 23%, so Dundee Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Dundee Utd and 1.0 for Dundee FC (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dundee Utd are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 0.65 for Dundee FC. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +5.6%. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.8%

Odds: 2.02 EV: -1.4%

Draw 28.0%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +0.8%

Away 23.1%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -21.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.70 +0.3%

Over 3.5 37.7% Odds: 2.80 +5.6%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.60 -6.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Dundee Utd

2.08

Dundee FC

1.03

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +0.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+5.6%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 1.4%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.41) > Away POOR (0.65)