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Italy - Serie A Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00 
Genoa PPG 1.29 
Como PPG 1.63
Italy - Serie A Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00 Genoa PPG 1.290-2 HIT CS3
Como PPG 1.63Home· +28.2% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 50.4% Odds: 2.00 +0.8%
Over 3.5 26.1% Odds: 3.55 -7.3%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.85 -2.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-1 ✘
3rd 0-2 ✔
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Genoa 0.99
Como 1.59
Model Suggestion
BTTS -2.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -2.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+28.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Home (+28.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 60 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 53%
ROI -26.7%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
DANGER 65%
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.29) vs Away GOOD (1.63)