Esbjerg vs Hillerod Prediction & Tips

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Denmark - 1. Division Promotion Group - 25 Blue Water Arena· Esbjerg Friday, April 17, 2026 16:30

Esbjerg PPG 2.00

0-0 MISS

Hillerod PPG 1.42

Away· +1.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.1%

Odds: 2.44 EV: -9.5%

Draw 25.5%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -17.1%

Away 37.4%

Odds: 2.70 EV: +1.0%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.0% Odds: 1.90 -1.2%

Over 3.5 29.9% Odds: 3.20 -4.3%

BTTS 56.0% Odds: 1.65 -7.6%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Esbjerg

1.38

Hillerod

1.38

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -7.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+1.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.42)