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Bukovyna vs Nyva Ternopil Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 12:00

Bukovyna

PPG 2.67 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Nyva Ternopil

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 71.7% vs bookmaker-implied 82.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-11.7%0-20.3%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-012.2%1-14.7%1-20.9%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.6%2-16.4%2-21.2%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-015.0%3-15.8%3-21.1%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-019.7%4+-17.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.7% 82.0% 1.22 -12.5%

Draw 21.1% 21.1% 4.75 +0.2%

Away win 7.2% 9.1% 11.00 -20.8%

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 37.5% — — —

BTTS 39.6% 48.8% 2.05 -18.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob39.6%

H 72% / xG 2.7-0.4 / O2.5 59% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 16.6%

#2 3–0 15.0%

#3 1–0✓ 12.2%

#4 4–0 10.2%

#5 2–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bukovyna2.7

Nyva Ternopil0.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

BUKOVYNA · PPG 2.67

NYVA TERNOPIL · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.67), Away AVERAGE (1.17) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bukovyna (H) 71.7%

ODDS 1.22 · IMPLIED 82.0% EV -12.5%

Draw 21.1%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +0.2%

Nyva Ternopil (A) 7.2%

ODDS 11.00 · IMPLIED 9.1% EV -20.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bukovyna face Nyva Ternopil in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bukovyna a 72% chance, the draw 21% and Nyva Ternopil 7%, so Bukovyna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Bukovyna and 0.4 for Nyva Ternopil (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bukovyna are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.17 for Nyva Ternopil. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.2%. This match finished 1-0.

Bukovyna vs Nyva Ternopil Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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