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E. Frankfurt W vs Wolfsburg W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Regular Season - 23 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 12:00

E. Frankfurt W

PPG 2.50 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Wolfsburg W

PPG 2.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 79.5% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0% — a clear edge.

+15.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.6%0-22.8%0-33.1%0-4+6.2%1 1-01.0%1-13.2%1-25.4%1-36.1%1-4+12.1%2 2-00.9%2-13.1%2-25.3%2-35.9%2-4+11.8%3 3-00.6%3-12.0%3-23.4%3-33.8%3-4+7.7%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.5%4+-22.6%4+-32.9%4+-4+5.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.1% 41.7% 2.40 -37.4%

Draw 20.4% 27.0% 3.70 -24.5%

Away win 53.5% 41.7% 2.40 +28.4%

Over 2.5 79.5% 69.0% 1.45 +15.3%

Over 3.5 77.7% 46.5% 2.15 +67.0%

BTTS 65.5% 71.4% 1.40 -8.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 69%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -6.1%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)3.4 BTTS prob65.5%

A 54% / xG 1.9-3.4 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 6.1%

#2 2–3 5.9%

#3 1–2 5.4%

#4 2–2 5.3%

#5 1–4 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

E. Frankfurt W1.9

Wolfsburg W3.4

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 77.7%

Form & verdict PPG

E. FRANKFURT W · PPG 2.50

WOLFSBURG W · PPG 2.36

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.50), Away EXCELLENT (2.36)

Win probability 1X2

E. Frankfurt W (H) 26.1%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -37.4%

Draw 20.4%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -24.5%

Wolfsburg W (A) 53.5%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +28.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

E. Frankfurt W face Wolfsburg W in Germany - Frauen Bundesliga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives E. Frankfurt W a 26% chance, the draw 20% and Wolfsburg W 54%, so Wolfsburg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for E. Frankfurt W and 3.4 for Wolfsburg W (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, E. Frankfurt W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 2.36 for Wolfsburg W. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +67.0%. This match finished 3-1.

E. Frankfurt W vs Wolfsburg W Prediction— Germany - Frauen Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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