Magdeburg B vs Carl Zeiss Jena Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost Nordost - 31 Sunday, April 26, 2026 12:00

Magdeburg B PPG 1.33

4-1 MISS

Carl Zeiss Jena PPG 1.80

Draw· +12.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Magdeburg B face Carl Zeiss Jena in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Magdeburg B a 27% chance, the draw 28% and Carl Zeiss Jena 45%, so Carl Zeiss Jena are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Magdeburg B and 2.1 for Carl Zeiss Jena (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Magdeburg B are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.80 for Carl Zeiss Jena. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +12.8%. This match finished 4-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.3%

Odds: 3.65 EV: -0.4%

Draw 28.2%

Odds: 4.00 EV: +12.8%

Away 44.5%

Odds: 1.73 EV: -23.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.45 -12.3%

Over 3.5 45.1% Odds: 2.20 -0.8%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.45 -15.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-3 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Magdeburg B

1.37

Carl Zeiss Jena

2.07

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -12.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -12.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+12.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5/Under 64%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 12.3%

Bet Hit 67% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.80)