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Italy - Serie A logo Italy flag Italy - Serie A Regular Season - 33 MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore· Reggio Emilia Friday, April 17, 2026 16:30
Sassuolo logo Sassuolo PPG 1.44
2-1 MISS
Como logo Como PPG 1.73
Away· +8.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 13.3%
Odds: 5.00 EV: -33.5%
Draw 20.4%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -20.4%
Away 66.3%
Odds: 1.63 EV: +8.1%
Model lean: Away
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.6% Odds: 1.75 -9.7%
Over 3.5 29.5% Odds: 2.85 -15.9%
BTTS 45.6% Odds: 1.73 -21.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1
2nd 0-2
3rd 1-1
4th 1-2
5th 0-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Sassuolo
0.75
Como
1.99

Model Suggestion

Away +8.1% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 55%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 53%
ROI -26.7%
Bet Hit 40% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away GOOD (1.73)

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