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Hallescher vs Hertha Berlin B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Nordost - 31 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 12:00

Hallescher

PPG 2.13 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Hertha Berlin B

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 60.7% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-12.5%0-21.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.1%1-16.7%1-23.2%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.6%2-19.0%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.5%3-18.1%3-23.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-010.9%4+-110.3%4+-24.9%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.7% 71.4% 1.40 -15.0%

Draw 22.5% 23.8% 4.20 -5.5%

Away win 16.8% 15.6% 6.40 +7.5%

Over 2.5 60.5% 67.6% 1.48 -10.5%

Over 3.5 49.0% 45.5% 2.20 +7.8%

BTTS 58.5% 62.5% 1.60 -6.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 9.8%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob58.5%

H 61% / xG 2.7-0.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 9.6%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 3–0 8.5%

#4 3–1 8.1%

#5 1–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hallescher2.7

Hertha Berlin B0.9

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 49.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HALLESCHER · PPG 2.13

HERTHA BERLIN B · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=60.7%

Win probability 1X2

Hallescher (H) 60.7%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -15.0%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -5.5%

Hertha Berlin B (A) 16.8%

ODDS 6.40 · IMPLIED 15.6% EV +7.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hallescher face Hertha Berlin B in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hallescher a 61% chance, the draw 23% and Hertha Berlin B 17%, so Hallescher are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Hallescher and 0.9 for Hertha Berlin B (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hallescher are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.20 for Hertha Berlin B. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +7.8%. This match finished 2-0.

Hallescher vs Hertha Berlin B Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Match Preview & Prediction

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