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Chemnitzer FC vs Meuselwitz Prediction— Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost

Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost logo Germany flag Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost Nordost - 31 Stadion Chemnitz· Chemnitz Sunday, April 26, 2026 12:00
Chemnitzer FC logo Chemnitzer FC PPG 1.73
3-2 MISS
Meuselwitz logo Meuselwitz PPG 0.93
Over3.5· +30.1% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chemnitzer FC face Meuselwitz in Germany - Regionalliga - Nordost on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chemnitzer FC a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Meuselwitz 25%, so Chemnitzer FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Chemnitzer FC and 1.3 for Meuselwitz (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chemnitzer FC are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 0.93 for Meuselwitz. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +30.1%. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.6%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -10.1%
Draw 26.0%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -3.8%
Away 25.4%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -12.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.70 +2.9%
Over 3.5 47.3% Odds: 2.75 +30.1%
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.62 -5.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Chemnitzer FC
2.25
Meuselwitz
1.30

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +2.9% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+30.1%)

League Track Record

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%
O2.5/Under 64%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 47%
ROI 12.3%
Bet Hit 67% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away POOR (0.93)

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