Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Denmark - 1. Division Relegation Group - 27 Riisvangen· Aarhus Sunday, April 26, 2026 12:00

Aarhus Fremad PPG 1.69

0-1 MISS

Hobro PPG 1.46

Over2.5· +8.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Aarhus Fremad face Hobro in Denmark - 1. Division on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Aarhus Fremad a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Hobro 25%, so Aarhus Fremad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Aarhus Fremad and 1.1 for Hobro (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Aarhus Fremad are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.46 for Hobro. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +8.0%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.3%

Odds: 2.02 EV: -6.5%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -3.8%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -14.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.83 +8.0%

Over 3.5 32.9% Odds: 3.00 -1.3%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.65 -3.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Aarhus Fremad

1.79

Hobro

1.10

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +8.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5/Under 60%

BTTS/No 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 28.6%

Bet Hit 73% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away AVERAGE (1.46)