Cordoba vs Sporting Gijon Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 37 Estadio Nuevo Arcángel· Córdoba Sunday, April 26, 2026 12:00

Cordoba PPG 1.47

3-2 MISS

Sporting Gijon PPG 0.94

Draw· +3.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.2%

Odds: 2.18 EV: -8.0%

Draw 29.1%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +3.3%

Away 28.8%

Odds: 3.05 EV: -12.2%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.67 -1.5%

Over 3.5 32.6% Odds: 2.70 -12.0%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.55 -9.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Cordoba

1.61

Sporting Gijon

1.26

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -1.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -1.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+3.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.47) > Away POOR (0.94)