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Paide vs Flora Prediction— Estonia - Meistriliiga

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 11:30

Paide

PPG 3.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Flora

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

No PPG data

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-11.7%0-20.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.0%1-15.2%1-22.7%1-30.9%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.7%2-18.0%2-24.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.9%3-18.2%3-24.3%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-013.1%4+-113.6%4+-27.1%4+-32.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.7% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 15.9% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 59.0% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -14.4%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.5%

H 63% / xG 3.1-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.2%

#2 2–1 8.0%

#3 3–0 7.9%

#4 2–0 7.7%

#5 4–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Paide3.1

Flora1.0

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 59.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PAIDE · PPG 3.00

FLORA · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Paide (H) 62.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Flora (A) 15.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Paide face Flora in Estonia - Meistriliiga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Paide a 63% chance, the draw 21% and Flora 16%, so Paide are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Paide and 1.0 for Flora (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Paide are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Flora. This match finished 1-2.

Paide vs Flora Prediction— Estonia - Meistriliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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