Nomme Kalju vs Vaprus Prediction— Estonia - Meistriliiga

Estonia - Meistriliiga Regular Season - 9 Hiiu Stadium· Tallinn Sunday, April 26, 2026 11:30

Nomme Kalju PPG 2.50

1-2 MISS

Vaprus PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Nomme Kalju face Vaprus in Estonia - Meistriliiga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nomme Kalju a 92% chance, the draw 7% and Vaprus 1%, so Nomme Kalju are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.4 for Nomme Kalju and 0.3 for Vaprus (5.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nomme Kalju are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.60 for Vaprus. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 91.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 6.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 1.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 79.5% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 81.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 39.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 5-0 ✘

2nd 4-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 5-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Nomme Kalju

5.37

Vaprus

0.31

Model SuggestionHome  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5/Under 65%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 39%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus