C. Zmijavci vs Rudes Prediction— Croatia - First NL

Croatia - First NL Regular Season - 28 Sunday, April 26, 2026 11:15

C. Zmijavci PPG 1.08

0-2 MISS

Rudes PPG 1.31

Home· +13.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

C. Zmijavci face Rudes in Croatia - First NL on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives C. Zmijavci a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Rudes 30%, so C. Zmijavci are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for C. Zmijavci and 1.1 for Rudes (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, C. Zmijavci are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.31 for Rudes. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.4%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.8%

Odds: 3.00 EV: +13.4%

Draw 32.7%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -5.2%

Away 29.5%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -33.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 21.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 52.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

C. Zmijavci

1.22

Rudes

1.13

Model SuggestionBTTS  NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+13.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 45%

BTTS/No 36%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 22.5%

Bet Hit 62% (13 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.08), Away AVERAGE (1.31)