Chongqing T. vs Qingdao West C. Prediction— China - Super League

China - Super League Regular Season - 8 Tongliang Long Stadium· Chongqing Sunday, April 26, 2026 11:00

Chongqing T. PPG 2.50

1-1 MISS

Qingdao West C. PPG 0.25

Over3.5· +68.2% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chongqing T. face Qingdao West C. in China - Super League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chongqing T. a 77% chance, the draw 17% and Qingdao West C. 6%, so Chongqing T. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Chongqing T. and 0.3 for Qingdao West C. (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chongqing T. are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.25 for Qingdao West C.. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +68.2%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 77.2%

Odds: 1.88 EV: +45.1%

Draw 17.0%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -42.2%

Away 5.8%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -78.0%

Model lean: Home

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.93 +16.8%

Over 3.5 50.2% Odds: 3.35 +68.2%

BTTS 39.6% Odds: 1.73 -31.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 4-0 ✘

4th 5-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chongqing T.

3.40

Qingdao West C.

0.28

Model SuggestionHome +45.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+68.2%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 23%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -11.2%

Bet Hit 50% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.25) - Strong consensus