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Ahrobiznes V. vs Inhulets Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Regular Season - 25 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 10:30

Ahrobiznes V.

PPG 2.08 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Inhulets

PPG 1.58 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.1%0-18.9%0-23.6%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.5%1-112.4%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.8%2-18.7%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.0%3-14.0%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-11.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% 51.3% 1.95 -11.7%

Draw 30.4% 34.5% 2.90 -11.8%

Away win 24.4% 27.8% 3.60 -12.2%

Over 2.5 44.4% — — —

Over 3.5 18.1% — — —

BTTS 49.5% 48.8% 2.05 +1.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 52%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.5%

H 45% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0✓ 15.5%

#3 0–0 11.1%

#4 2–0 10.8%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ahrobiznes V.1.4

Inhulets0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

AHROBIZNES V. · PPG 2.08

INHULETS · PPG 1.58

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.08) > Away GOOD (1.58)

Win probability 1X2

Ahrobiznes V. (H) 45.3%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -11.7%

Draw 30.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -11.8%

Inhulets (A) 24.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -12.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ahrobiznes V. face Inhulets in Ukraine - Persha Liga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ahrobiznes V. a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Inhulets 24%, so Ahrobiznes V. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ahrobiznes V. and 0.8 for Inhulets (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ahrobiznes V. are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 1.58 for Inhulets. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +1.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Ahrobiznes V. vs Inhulets Prediction— Ukraine - Persha Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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