Today / Denmark - 1. Division / B 93 vs Middelfart

B 93 vs Middelfart Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Relegation Group - 27 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 10:00

B 93

PPG 0.77 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Middelfart

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 59.0% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-14.1%0-22.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.0%1-19.0%1-25.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.8%2-19.8%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.4%3-17.1%3-24.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.8%4+-16.5%4+-23.6%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 70.4% 1.42 -30.7%

Draw 26.5% 22.5% 4.45 +17.9%

Away win 24.7% 16.1% 6.20 +53.1%

Over 2.5 59.0% 66.7% 1.50 -11.5%

Over 3.5 41.9% 44.4% 2.25 -5.7%

BTTS 58.5% 61.7% 1.62 -5.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.5%

H 49% / xG 2.2-1.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 2–1✓ 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.8%

#4 3–1 7.1%

#5 1–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

B 932.2

Middelfart1.1

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 41.9%

Form & verdict PPG

B 93 · PPG 0.77

MIDDELFART · PPG 0.38

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.77) > Away POOR (0.38)

Win probability 1X2

B 93 (H) 48.8%

ODDS 1.42 · IMPLIED 70.4% EV -30.7%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 4.45 · IMPLIED 22.5% EV +17.9%

Middelfart (A) 24.7%

ODDS 6.20 · IMPLIED 16.1% EV +53.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

B 93 face Middelfart in Denmark - 1. Division on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives B 93 a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Middelfart 25%, so B 93 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for B 93 and 1.1 for Middelfart (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, B 93 are averaging 0.77 points per game versus 0.38 for Middelfart. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +53.1%. This match finished 2-1.

B 93 vs Middelfart Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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