Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: 1.50 -11.5%
Over 3.5 41.9% Odds: 2.25 -5.7%
BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.62 -5.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 1-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -11.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -11.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+53.1%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: POOR (0.77) > Away POOR (0.38)