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Lecce U20 vs H. Verona U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Regular Season - 35 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 09:00

Lecce U20

PPG 1.41 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

H. Verona U20

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.5%0-15.8%0-23.7%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.3%1-110.5%1-26.7%1-32.9%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.5%2-19.6%2-26.1%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.5%3-15.8%3-23.7%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-14.0%4+-22.5%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% — — —

Draw 28.3% — — —

Away win 25.4% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 37.3% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -28.0%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob58.5%

H 46% / xG 1.8-1.3 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 1–2 6.7%

#5 1–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lecce U201.8

H. Verona U201.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

LECCE U20 · PPG 1.41

H. VERONA U20 · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.41) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Lecce U20 (H) 46.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

H. Verona U20 (A) 25.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lecce U20 face H. Verona U20 in Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lecce U20 a 46% chance, the draw 28% and H. Verona U20 25%, so Lecce U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Lecce U20 and 1.3 for H. Verona U20 (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lecce U20 are averaging 1.41 points per game versus 1.06 for H. Verona U20. This match finished 3-2.

Lecce U20 vs H. Verona U20 Prediction— Italy - Campionato Primavera - 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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