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APIA Leichhardt vs S George Saints Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 12 Lambert Park· Sydney Sunday, April 26, 2026 06:30
APIA Leichhardt logo APIA Leichhardt PPG 3.00
2-1 HIT CS2
S George Saints logo S George Saints PPG 1.17
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

APIA Leichhardt face S George Saints in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives APIA Leichhardt a 59% chance, the draw 24% and S George Saints 16%, so APIA Leichhardt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for APIA Leichhardt and 0.8 for S George Saints (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, APIA Leichhardt are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.17 for S George Saints. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.2%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 24.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 16.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 38.9% Odds: —
BTTS 52.6% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 3-0
4th 1-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

APIA Leichhardt
2.37
S George Saints
0.80

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 51%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 38%
ROI 17.4%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=59.2%

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