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WS Wanderers B vs Manly Utd Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 05:00

WS Wanderers B

PPG 0.70 · HOME

UPCOMING

Manly Utd

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 50.8% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-18.0%0-23.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.6%1-112.1%1-25.4%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.4%2-19.2%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.3%3-14.7%3-22.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 47.7% 2.15 +2.5%

Draw 25.7% 3.35 -8.3%

Away win 26.7% 2.95 -12.7%

Over 2.5 49.8% 1.73 -13.9%

Over 3.5 28.6% 2.80 -11.9%

BTTS 50.8% 1.57 -20.2%

Home Over 1.5 43.5% 1.95 -15.2%

Away Over 1.5 22.9% 2.38 -27.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 80 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob50.8%

H 48% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0 13.6%

#3 0–0 9.0%

#4 2–0 10.4%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

WS Wanderers B1.5

Manly Utd0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WS WANDERERS B · PPG 0.70

MANLY UTD · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.70), Away POOR (0.70)

Win probability 1X2

WS Wanderers B (H) 47.7%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +2.5%

Draw 25.7%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -8.3%

Manly Utd (A) 26.7%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -12.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

WS Wanderers B face Manly Utd in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives WS Wanderers B a 48% chance, the draw 26% and Manly Utd 27%, so WS Wanderers B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for WS Wanderers B and 0.9 for Manly Utd (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, WS Wanderers B are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 0.70 for Manly Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +2.5%.

WS Wanderers B vs Manly Utd Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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