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Jeonbuk vs Pohang Steelers Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

South-Korea - K League 1 logo South-Korea flag South-Korea - K League 1 Regular Season - 10 Jeonju World Cup Stadium· Jeonju Sunday, April 26, 2026 05:00
Jeonbuk logo Jeonbuk PPG 1.50
3-2 MISS
Pohang Steelers logo Pohang Steelers PPG 1.00
Draw· +14.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeonbuk face Pohang Steelers in South-Korea - K League 1 on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeonbuk a 40% chance, the draw 34% and Pohang Steelers 26%, so Jeonbuk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Jeonbuk and 0.5 for Pohang Steelers (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeonbuk are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Pohang Steelers. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +14.2%. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.3%
Odds: 1.90 EV: -23.4%
Draw 33.6%
Odds: 3.40 EV: +14.2%
Away 26.1%
Odds: 4.10 EV: +7.0%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 24.2% Odds: 2.10 -49.2%
Over 3.5 4.8% Odds: 3.85 -81.5%
BTTS 39.6% Odds: 1.90 -24.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Jeonbuk
0.88
Pohang Steelers
0.46

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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