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WS Wanderers B vs SD Raiders Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 05:00

WS Wanderers B

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

SD Raiders

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-11.9%0-21.4%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-03.7%1-15.5%1-24.0%1-32.0%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.4%2-17.9%2-25.8%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.1%3-17.6%3-25.5%3-32.7%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-07.5%4+-111.0%4+-28.0%4+-33.9%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.4% — — —

Draw 20.9% — — —

Away win 22.7% — — —

Over 2.5 67.8% — — —

Over 3.5 63.0% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 111 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -14.0%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob58.5%

H 56% / xG 2.9-1.5 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.9%

#2 3–1 7.6%

#3 1–1 5.5%

#4 2–2 5.8%

#5 3–2 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

WS Wanderers B2.9

SD Raiders1.5

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.8% · O3.5 PROB 63.0%

Form & verdict PPG

WS WANDERERS B · PPG 1.00

SD RAIDERS · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.80)

Win probability 1X2

WS Wanderers B (H) 56.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SD Raiders (A) 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

WS Wanderers B face SD Raiders in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives WS Wanderers B a 56% chance, the draw 21% and SD Raiders 23%, so WS Wanderers B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for WS Wanderers B and 1.5 for SD Raiders (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, WS Wanderers B are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.80 for SD Raiders. This match finished 1-2.

WS Wanderers B vs SD Raiders Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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