Rockdale vs St George City Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 12 Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre· Sydney Sunday, April 26, 2026 05:00

Rockdale PPG 1.50

1-0 MISS

St George City PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Rockdale face St George City in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rockdale a 60% chance, the draw 23% and St George City 17%, so Rockdale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Rockdale and 0.9 for St George City (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rockdale are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.40 for St George City. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 23.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 16.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 46.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Rockdale

2.56

St George City

0.95

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=60.3%