Blacktown City vs NWS Spirit Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 12 Landen Stadium· Sydney Sunday, April 26, 2026 05:00

Blacktown City PPG 0.20

1-0 MISS

NWS Spirit PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Blacktown City face NWS Spirit in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Blacktown City a 27% chance, the draw 28% and NWS Spirit 45%, so NWS Spirit are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Blacktown City and 2.0 for NWS Spirit (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Blacktown City are averaging 0.20 points per game versus 1.60 for NWS Spirit. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 28.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 44.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 41.7% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-3 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Blacktown City

1.28

NWS Spirit

2.00

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.60) vs Home POOR (0.20)