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Sydney Utd vs Wollongong W. Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Australia - New South Wales NPL logo Australia flag Australia - New South Wales NPL Regular Season - 12 Sydney United Sports Centre· Sydney Sunday, April 26, 2026 04:30
Sydney Utd logo Sydney Utd PPG 2.71
0-1 MISS
Wollongong W. logo Wollongong W. PPG 1.67
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney Utd face Wollongong W. in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney Utd a 57% chance, the draw 28% and Wollongong W. 16%, so Sydney Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Sydney Utd and 0.6 for Wollongong W. (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney Utd are averaging 2.71 points per game versus 1.67 for Wollongong W.. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.6%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 27.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 15.7%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 22.4% Odds: —
BTTS 49.5% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Sydney Utd
1.84
Wollongong W.
0.58

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 51%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 38%
ROI 17.4%
Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.71) vs P(Home)=56.6%

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