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Charlestown A. vs Valentine Prediction— Australia - Northern NSW NPL

Australia - Northern NSW NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Northern NSW NPL Regular Season - 9 Sunday, April 26, 2026 03:00
Charlestown A. logo Charlestown A. PPG 2.00
1-2 MISS
Valentine logo Valentine PPG 0.75
Draw· +10.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Charlestown A. face Valentine in Australia - Northern NSW NPL on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Charlestown A. a 57% chance, the draw 28% and Valentine 16%, so Charlestown A. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Charlestown A. and 0.5 for Valentine (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Charlestown A. are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Valentine. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +10.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.6%
Odds: 1.40 EV: -20.8%
Draw 27.7%
Odds: 4.00 EV: +10.8%
Away 15.7%
Odds: 7.00 EV: +9.9%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.4% Odds: —
Over 3.5 19.1% Odds: —
BTTS 48.3% Odds: 1.85 -10.6%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 0-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Charlestown A.
1.75
Valentine
0.51

Model Suggestion

Home -20.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -20.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+10.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 79%
BTTS/No 71%
Score Hit 39%
ROI 52.9%
Bet Hit 100% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=56.6%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org