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USA - Major League Soccer
Regular Season - 10
Lumen Field· Seattle
Sunday, April 26, 2026
02:30
Seattle
PPG 3.00
2-1
MISS
Dallas
PPG 1.50
Draw· +9.4%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
56.6%
Odds: 1.63
EV: -7.7%
Draw
27.7%
Odds: 3.95
EV: +9.4%
Away
15.7%
Odds: 4.90
EV: -23.1%
Model lean:
Home
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
50.0%
Odds: 1.65
-17.5%
Over 3.5
23.4%
Odds: 2.62
-38.7%
BTTS
49.5%
Odds: 1.65
-18.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
0-0
✘
5th
3-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle
1.89
Dallas
0.57
Model Suggestion
Home
-7.7%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Home, but EV is -7.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Draw (+9.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=56.6%