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DC United vs Orlando City Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 10 Audi Field· Washington Saturday, April 25, 2026 23:30
DC United logo DC United PPG 1.00
3-2 MISS
Orlando City logo Orlando City PPG 0.25
Home· +25.3% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

DC United face Orlando City in USA - Major League Soccer on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives DC United a 68% chance, the draw 18% and Orlando City 14%, so DC United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for DC United and 0.9 for Orlando City (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, DC United are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.25 for Orlando City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +25.3%. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 68.1%
Odds: 1.84 EV: +25.3%
Draw 18.2%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -33.6%
Away 13.7%
Odds: 3.95 EV: -45.9%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.3% Odds: 1.70 +5.9%
Over 3.5 40.1% Odds: 2.80 +12.3%
BTTS 54.2% Odds: 1.62 -12.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

DC United
2.29
Orlando City
0.92

Model Suggestion

Home +25.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.25)

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