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USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 10 TQL Stadium· Cincinnati Saturday, April 25, 2026 23:30
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati PPG 1.75
2-0 MISS
New York RB logo New York RB PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +83.2% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.8%
Odds: 1.81 EV: +22.7%
Draw 13.3%
Odds: 4.10 EV: -45.5%
Away 18.8%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -31.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 97.0% Odds: 1.40 +35.8%
Over 3.5 91.6% Odds: 2.00 +83.2%
BTTS 91.4% Odds: 1.38 +26.1%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 4-2
2nd 3-2
3rd 5-2
4th 4-3
5th 3-3

Expected Goals (xG)

Cincinnati
4.37
New York RB
2.60

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +35.8% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+83.2%)

League Track Record

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -11.7%
Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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