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Deportivo Cali vs America de Cali Prediction— Colombia - Primera A

Colombia - Primera A logo Colombia flag Colombia - Primera A Apertura - 18 Estadio Deportivo Cali· Palmira Saturday, April 25, 2026 23:10
Deportivo Cali logo Deportivo Cali PPG 1.78
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
America de Cali logo America de Cali PPG 1.33
Home· +18.1% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Cali face America de Cali in Colombia - Primera A on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Cali a 48% chance, the draw 31% and America de Cali 22%, so Deportivo Cali are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Deportivo Cali and 0.7 for America de Cali (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 28% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Cali are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.33 for America de Cali. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +18.1%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.6%
Odds: 2.48 EV: +18.1%
Draw 30.9%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -4.2%
Away 21.5%
Odds: 2.92 EV: -37.2%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 28.4% Odds: 2.38 -32.4%
Over 3.5 11.8% Odds: 4.50 -46.9%
BTTS 34.2% Odds: 2.00 -31.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo Cali
1.17
America de Cali
0.68

Model Suggestion

No Bet ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 63%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 44%
ROI 7.5%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

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