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Brazil - Serie A
Regular Season - 13
Estádio Banpará Baenão· Belém
Saturday, April 25, 2026
21:30
Remo
PPG 1.20
0-1
MISS
Cruzeiro
PPG 0.20
Home· +126.5%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
63.8%
Odds: 3.55
EV: +126.5%
Draw
18.0%
Odds: 3.40
EV: -38.8%
Away
18.3%
Odds: 2.04
EV: -62.7%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
73.4%
Odds: 1.95
+43.1%
Over 3.5
53.0%
Odds: 3.40
+80.2%
BTTS
66.9%
Odds: 1.75
+17.1%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-1
✘
2nd
3-1
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Remo
2.51
Cruzeiro
1.30
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+43.1%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Home(+126.5%)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.20) vs P(Home)=63.8%