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Brazil - Serie A Saturday, April 25, 2026 21:30 
Bahia PPG 1.60 
Santos PPG 0.40
Brazil - Serie A Saturday, April 25, 2026 21:30 Bahia PPG 1.602-2 MISS
Santos PPG 0.40Over3.5· +52.4% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 67.2% Odds: 1.93 +29.7%
Over 3.5 45.5% Odds: 3.35 +52.4%
BTTS 51.5% Odds: 1.77 -8.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 3-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Bahia 2.65
Santos 0.81
Model Suggestion
Home +40.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+52.4%)
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+52.4%)
League Track Record ↗
Based on 63 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 49%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 49%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 56% (27 bets)
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
STRONG_HOME 98%
Home team in GOOD form (1.60), Away POOR (0.40) - Strong consensus