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A. Anzoategui vs Zamora Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Apertura - 13 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 20:00

A. Anzoategui

PPG 0.20 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Zamora

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-111.9%0-28.0%0-33.6%0-4+1.6%1 1-09.6%1-112.9%1-28.6%1-33.9%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.2%2-16.9%2-24.7%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.9%3-12.5%3-21.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.0% — — —

Draw 27.2% — — —

Away win 42.7% — — —

Over 2.5 43.6% — — —

Over 3.5 22.6% — — —

BTTS 48.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 69%

ROI 18.3%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.8%

A 43% / xG 1.1-1.3 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.9%

#2 0–1 11.9%

#3 1–0 9.6%

#4 0–0 8.9%

#5 1–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Anzoategui1.1

Zamora1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.6%

Form & verdict PPG

A. ANZOATEGUI · PPG 0.20

ZAMORA · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.17) vs Home POOR (0.20)

Win probability 1X2

A. Anzoategui (H) 30.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zamora (A) 42.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Anzoategui face Zamora in Venezuela - Primera División on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Anzoategui a 30% chance, the draw 27% and Zamora 43%, so Zamora are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for A. Anzoategui and 1.3 for Zamora (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Anzoategui are averaging 0.20 points per game versus 1.17 for Zamora. This match finished 1-1.

A. Anzoategui vs Zamora Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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