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Venezuela - Primera División
Apertura - Quadrangular - 4
Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez· Araure
Sunday, May 17, 2026
21:30
Portuguesa
PPG 1.88
1-0
HIT CS2
Puerto Cabello
PPG 0.88
Home· +33.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
50.2%
Odds: 2.65
EV: +33.0%
Draw
26.2%
Odds: 2.95
EV: -13.6%
Away
23.6%
Odds: 2.60
EV: -23.2%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
46.2%
Odds: 2.20
+1.6%
Over 3.5
19.3%
Odds: 4.00
-13.7%
BTTS
49.2%
Odds: 1.80
-11.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✔
3rd
0-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Portuguesa
1.45
Puerto Cabello
0.81
Model Suggestion
Home
+33.0%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
League Track Record
↗
Based on 26 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc
46%
O2.5/Under
77%
BTTS/No
39%
Score Hit
69%
ROI
17.3%
Bet Hit
63%
(8 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=50.2%