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Venezuela - Primera División logo Venezuela flag Venezuela - Primera División Apertura - Quadrangular - 4 Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez· Araure Sunday, May 17, 2026 21:30
Portuguesa logo Portuguesa PPG 1.88
1-0 HIT CS2
Puerto Cabello logo Puerto Cabello PPG 0.88
Home· +33.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.2%
Odds: 2.65 EV: +33.0%
Draw 26.2%
Odds: 2.95 EV: -13.6%
Away 23.6%
Odds: 2.60 EV: -23.2%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.20 +1.6%
Over 3.5 19.3% Odds: 4.00 -13.7%
BTTS 49.2% Odds: 1.80 -11.4%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 0-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Portuguesa
1.45
Puerto Cabello
0.81

Model Suggestion

Home +33.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 77%
BTTS/No 39%
Score Hit 69%
ROI 17.3%
Bet Hit 63% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.88) vs P(Home)=50.2%

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