Puerto Cabello vs UCV Prediction & Tips

Venezuela - Primera División Apertura - Quadrangular - 5 Complejo Deportivo Socialista· Carabobo Saturday, May 23, 2026 22:00

Puerto Cabello PPG 1.75

2-1 HIT CS3

UCV PPG 1.56

Away· +24.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 38.6%

Odds: 1.91 EV: -26.3%

Draw 26.8%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -6.9%

Away 34.6%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +24.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 2.05 +7.8%

Over 3.5 28.4% Odds: 3.70 +3.0%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.83 -0.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✔

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Puerto Cabello

1.40

UCV

1.29

Model SuggestionBTTS -0.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -0.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+24.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.56)