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Venezuela - Primera División logo Venezuela flag Venezuela - Primera División Apertura - Quadrangular - 4 Estadio Olimpico de la UCV· Caracas Sunday, May 17, 2026 22:00
Metropolitanos logo Metropolitanos PPG 2.25
0-1 HIT CS5
D. Tachira logo D. Tachira PPG 1.57
Home· +19.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.5%
Odds: 2.75 EV: +19.6%
Draw 32.6%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -2.2%
Away 23.8%
Odds: 2.45 EV: -25.0%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.0% Odds: 2.20 -23.0%
Over 3.5 12.0% Odds: 4.00 -31.2%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.83 -11.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Metropolitanos
1.13
D. Tachira
0.74

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.25) > Away GOOD (1.57)

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