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Kawkab M. vs Wydad Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 19:00

Kawkab M.

PPG 1.71 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Wydad

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.0%0-113.8%0-26.3%0-31.9%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.7%1-113.5%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.2%2-16.6%2-23.0%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.3%3-12.1%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.7% 21.7% 4.60 +64.2%

Draw 31.9% 32.3% 3.10 -1.1%

Away win 32.5% 56.5% 1.77 -42.5%

Over 2.5 29.5% 38.5% 2.60 -23.3%

Over 3.5 12.4% 21.1% 4.75 -41.1%

BTTS 37.4% 44.4% 2.25 -15.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -14.8%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob37.4%

D 32% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 15.0%

#2 1–0 14.7%

#3 0–1 13.8%

#4 1–1 13.5%

#5 2–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kawkab M.1.0

Wydad0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.5% · O3.5 PROB 12.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KAWKAB M. · PPG 1.71

WYDAD · PPG 2.00

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Kawkab M. (H) 35.7%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +64.2%

Draw 31.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -1.1%

Wydad (A) 32.5%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -42.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kawkab M. face Wydad in Morocco - Botola Pro on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kawkab M. a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Wydad 33%, so Kawkab M. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kawkab M. and 0.9 for Wydad (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kawkab M. are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 2.00 for Wydad. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +64.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Kawkab M. vs Wydad Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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