CF Montreal vs New York City Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

Match Preview & Prediction

CF Montreal face New York City in USA - Major League Soccer on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CF Montreal a 32% chance, the draw 18% and New York City 50%, so New York City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for CF Montreal and 2.8 for New York City (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 89% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 85% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CF Montreal are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.33 for New York City. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +110.6%. This match finished 1-0.