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Inter U23 vs Union Brescia Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone A

Girone A - 38 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 18:30

Inter U23

PPG 0.94 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Union Brescia

PPG 1.72 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.5%0-118.4%0-27.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.2%1-112.4%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-05.1%2-14.2%2-21.7%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.2%3-10.9%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.5% 31.3% 3.20 -12.0%

Draw 36.7% 32.3% 3.10 +13.8%

Away win 35.8% 46.5% 2.15 -23.0%

Over 2.5 18.9% 46.5% 2.15 -59.4%

Over 3.5 6.5% 25.3% 3.95 -74.3%

BTTS 27.4% 54.6% 1.83 -49.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 7.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob27.4%

D 37% / xG 0.7-0.8 / U2.5 19% / NoBTTS 27%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.5%

#2 0–1✓ 18.4%

#3 1–0 15.2%

#4 1–1 12.4%

#5 0–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter U230.7

Union Brescia0.8

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 18.9% · O3.5 PROB 6.5%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER U23 · PPG 0.94

UNION BRESCIA · PPG 1.72

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.72) vs Home POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Inter U23 (H) 27.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -12.0%

Draw 36.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +13.8%

Union Brescia (A) 35.8%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -23.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter U23 face Union Brescia in Italy - Serie C - Girone A on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter U23 a 28% chance, the draw 37% and Union Brescia 36%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Inter U23 and 0.8 for Union Brescia (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 19% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 27% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter U23 are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 1.72 for Union Brescia. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +13.8%. This match finished 0-1.

Inter U23 vs Union Brescia Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone A

Match Preview & Prediction

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